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MLB Projected Win Totals and Over/Under Odds 2026: Can Brewers Defy the Odds Again?

Spring training is around the corner, and we've already got projected win totals for all 30 teams.

It's a simple market. If you think a team is projected for too many wins, take the Under. If you're more bullish on, say, the Cincinnati Reds than the books are, hammer the Over.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are the only team projected to win more than 100 games, at 102.5. Meanwhile, the Colorado Rockies are on the low end of the spectrum, with a projected total of 52.5.

No team won more than the Milwaukee Brewers' 97 last season, while the Rockies indeed came in Under even this year's rock-bottom total with just 43 victories. The Brewers' total is set at 84.5 after trading ace Freddy Peralta to the New York Mets.

Here’s our initial look at the MLB odds for projected wins in the 2026 regular season.

2026 National League win total odds

TeamTotalOverUnder
Arizona Diamondbacks79.5-110-110
Braves Atlanta Braves88.5-105-115
Cubs Chicago Cubs88.5-115-105
Reds Cincinnati Reds82.5-110-110
Rockies Colorado Rockies52.5-115-105
Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers102.5-115-105
Marlins Miami Marlins72.5-110-110
Brewers Milwaukee Brewers84.5-120+100
Mets New York Mets90.5-110-110
Phillies Philadelphia Phillies89.5-110-110
Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates76.5-110-110
Padres San Diego Padres85.5-110-110
Giants San Francisco Giants80.5-110-110
Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals69.5-110-110
Nationals Washington Nationals65.5-110-110

Odds courtesy of DraftKings


Popular MLB futures markets


2026 American League win total odds

TeamTotalOverUnder
Athletics Athletics75.5-105-115
Orioles Baltimore Orioles84.5-115-105
Red Sox Boston Red Sox87.5-115-105
White Sox Chicago White Sox66.5-110-110
Guardians Cleveland Guardians80.5-105-115
Tigers Detroit Tigers85.5-115-105
Astros Houston Astros86.5-110-110
Royals Kansas City Royals81.5-120+100
Angels Los Angeles Angels70.5+100-120
Twins Minnesota Twins73.5-115-105
Yankees New York Yankees91.5-105-115
Mariners Seattle Mariners89.5-120+100
Rays Tampa Bay Rays77.5+100-120
Rangers Texas Rangers83.5-110-110
Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays88.5-115-105

Odds courtesy of DraftKings.

How to bet MLB season win totals

Season win totals are pretty straightforward: you're betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season.

Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team — based on past success, returning personnel, and strength of schedule — and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games.

On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets — also known as vig or juice — depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total.

For example, the Blue Jays are projected to win 91.5 games but oddsmakers felt like there was a better chance of them winning fewer than 92 games instead of winning 92+ games. Therefore, they set the Jays with a win total of 91.5 but increased the vig on the UNDER to -115 (bet $115 to win $100) and decreased the vig on the OVER to -105 (bet $105 to win $100).

  • OVER 91.5 wins (-105)
  • UNDER 91.5 wins (-115)

Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season when all results are final.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here

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